FY 2002 Columbia Plateau proposal 199701400

Section 1. Administrative

Proposal titleEvaluation of Juvenile Fall Chinook Stranding on the Hanford Reach
Proposal ID199701400
OrganizationWashington Department of Fish & Wildlife (WDFW)
Proposal contact person or principal investigator
NamePaul Hoffarth
Mailing address3030 West Clearwater Suite 115 Kennewick, WA 99336
Phone / email5097347434 / [email protected]
Manager authorizing this projectJohn Easterbrooks
Review cycleColumbia Plateau
Province / SubbasinColumbia Plateau / Mainstem Columbia
Short descriptionEstimate the number of rearing wild juvenile upriver bright fall chinook killed or placed at risk in a 17 mile section of the Hanford Reach during the implementation period of the year 2002 Special Operations Plan for the Priest Rapids Project.
Target speciesFall Chinook
Project location
LatitudeLongitudeDescription
Hanford Reach, Priest Rapids Dam to Richland
Hanford Reach, Priest Rapids Dam to Richland
46.6708 -119.4325 Hanford Reach
Reasonable and Prudent Alternatives (RPAs)

Sponsor-reported:

RPA

Relevant RPAs based on NMFS/BPA review:

Reviewing agencyAction #BiOp AgencyDescription

Section 2. Past accomplishments

YearAccomplishment
1997 Pilot Evaluation - Observations/verification of fall chinook fry and resident fish stranding in the Hanford Reach.
1997 Development of benthic macroinvertebrate assessment plan (University of Idaho, Streamside Consultants subcontracts)
1997 Completion of Unsteady Flow Model for the Hanford Reach (PNNL subcontract)
1998 Field work to collect basic information pertaining to the physical and biological aspects of chinook and resident fish stranding/entrapment in the Hanford Reach
1998 First year of benthic macroinvertebrate assessment (determination of colonization variability, artificial substrate type and sample site selection University of Idaho, Streamside Programs Consultant subcontract).
1998 Collection of Scanning Hydrographic Operational Airborne LIDAR Survey (COE subcontract) detailed bathymetry data for 17 miles of the Hanford Reach (cost share with USGS/BRD fall chinook project).
1998 Conduct laboratory assessment of physiological and behavioral impacts of juvenile fall chinook exposure to warm water and temperature gradients within entrapments (USGS/BRD subcontract)
1998 Formation of Hanford Technical and Policy Groups (representatives from all affected tribal, hydro, and fish manager parties) to oversee and guide direction of the study
1999 Completion of temperature tolerance laboratory work
1999 Completion of benthic macroinvertebrate field assessment and laboratory work
1999 Technical and Policy Groups development of a Special Operations Plan for the Priest Rapids Project to minimize chinook stranding
1999 Completion of first year assessment of Special Operation Plan
1999 Integration of Unsteady Flow Model, detailed bathymetry (SHOALS) data, and Priest Rapids discharge data into a GIS to develop assessment plan and to assess results of Special Operation Plan
2000 Complete resident fish assessment
2000 First revision of Special Operations Plan for the Priest Rapids Project completed based upon 1999 results.
2000 Revised Special Operations Plan assessed.
2000 Second revision to Special Operations Plan for the Priest Rapids Project completed based upon results of year 2000 field season.
2000 Completion of second year assessment of Special Operation Plan
2001 Third revision to Special Operations Plan for the Priest Rapids Project completed based upon results of year 1999 and 2000 field seasons.
2001 Completion of second year assessment of Special Operation Plan (ongoing).

Section 3. Relationships to other projects

Project IDTitleDescription
Smolt Monitoring Program Data sharing
9102900 Identification of Spawning, Rearing, and Migratory Requirements of Fall Chinook Salmon in the Columbia River Basin Shared staff, equipment, data, and past cost sharing
9406900 Spawning Habitat Model for Snake River Fall Chinook Shared staff, equipment, and data
8605000 White Sturgeon, Productivity, Status, and Habitat Requirements Data Sharing

Section 4. Budget for Planning and Design phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2002 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Planning and Design phase

Section 5. Budget for Construction and Implementation phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2002 costSubcontractor
1. Determine Starting and Ending Dates of Special Operation Plan. Ongoing $12,500
2. Estimate the number of wild juvenile chinook killed and placed at risk within the 17 mile designated sampling area during the special operations period. Ongoing $241,500
3. Determine through daily monitoring the need for emergency re-wetting during the special operations period. Ongoing $33,000
4.Refine the juvenile fall chinook susceptibility model developed by PNNL Ongoing $55,000 Yes
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
1. Determine Starting and Ending Dates of Special Operation Plan. 2003 2003 $12,500
2. Estimate the number of wild juvenile chinook killed and placed at risk within the 17 mile designated sampling area during the special operations period. 2003 2003 $241,500
3. Determine through daily monitoring the need for emergency re-wetting during the special operations period. 2003 2003 $33,000
4.Refine the juvenile fall chinook susceptibility model developed by PNNL 2003 2003 $10,000
Outyear budgets for Construction and Implementation phase
FY 2003
$297,000

Section 6. Budget for Operations and Maintenance phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2002 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
Outyear budgets for Operations and Maintenance phase

Section 7. Budget for Monitoring and Evaluation phase

Task-based budget
ObjectiveTaskDuration in FYsEstimated 2002 costSubcontractor
Outyear objectives-based budget
ObjectiveStarting FYEnding FYEstimated cost
1. Determine the starting and ending dates of the special operations period. 2004 2006 $37,500
2. Conduct index surveys for estimation of population abundance and length frequency. 2004 2006 $30,000
3.Determine through daily monitoring the need for emergency re-wetting and the impact of flow conditions on wild juvenile fall chinook during the special operations period. 2004 2006 $292,500
4. Continue to update and refine the juvenile fall chinook susceptibility model developed by PNNL. 2004 2006 $30,000
Outyear budgets for Monitoring and Evaluation phase
FY 2004FY 2005FY 2006
$130,000$130,000$130,000

Section 8. Estimated budget summary

Itemized budget
ItemNoteFY 2002 cost
Personnel FTE: 4.5 FTE's $158,351
Fringe Medical Insurance, Soc. Sec., Retirement, etc. $41,500
Supplies Boat gas, field equipment, etc. $27,700
Travel Private and GSA vehicle mileage, GSA vehicle lease. $16,500
Indirect Administrative Overhead $46,949
Capital $0
NEPA $0
PIT tags $0
Subcontractor PNNL (Objectives 2&4), Golder Assoc. (Objective 2) $51,000
Other $0
$342,000
Total estimated budget
Total FY 2002 cost$342,000
Amount anticipated from previously committed BPA funds$0
Total FY 2002 budget request$342,000
FY 2002 forecast from 2001$342,000
% change from forecast0.0%
Reason for change in estimated budget

No Change

Reason for change in scope

No Change

Cost sharing
OrganizationItem or service providedAmountCash or in-kind
Grant County Public Utility District Project Funding $70,000 cash
Grant County Public Utility District Staff, field equipment $30,000 in-kind
Other budget explanation

Note that the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) will be subcontracted to perform Objective 4 but will also conduct a portion of the work included in Objective 2. Golder Associates will be subcontracted to perform a portion of the work included in Objective 2.


Reviews and recommendations

This information was not provided on the original proposals, but was generated during the review process.

Recommendation:
Fundable only if response is adequate
Date:
Jun 15, 2001

Comment:

Fundable after a response is given that adequately addresses the ISRP's larger concerns over the entire Hanford Reach study program and interrelated projects stated above.

This proposal involves two more years of study followed by three years of monitoring and evaluation (presumably to become ongoing). Past studies have provided an important understanding of the effect of flow fluctuations and the mortality associated with stranding of fall chinook juveniles. Mortality on fry is likely to be highest when they are very small and greatest in the nearshore areas (<1m depth). In recent years the mortality rates in the study area had been relatively small (estimated to be <2% of the chinook fry) but rates are expected to be higher during 2001. We support the continuation of this study, but note the need to address the three limitations noted in the proposal (page 1, section 9) and the need to begin applying flow dynamic models to predict mortality and to verify these results with field data. These in-depth sampling programs are not likely needed on an annual basis. Particular attention should be placed on inspection of the remaining river area that has not been sampled (i.e., the 34 miles of Hanford Reach not included in the study area).


Recommendation:
High Priority
Date:
Aug 3, 2001

Comment:

Long term funding for monitoring for this project needs to be considered by Grant County PUD.
Recommendation:
Fund
Date:
Aug 10, 2001

Comment:

Fundable, but the value of the project depends on whether there is still a question if the flow agreement is effective. This is primarily a monitoring effort to determine stranding mortality under various flow levels. The response was marginal. This proposal involves two more years of study followed by three years of monitoring and evaluation (presumably to become ongoing). Past studies have provided an important understanding of the effect of flow fluctuations and the mortality associated with stranding of fall chinook juveniles. Mortality on fry is likely to be highest when they are very small and greatest in the nearshore areas (<1m depth). In recent years the mortality rates in the study area had been relatively small (estimated to be <2% of the chinook fry) but rates are expected to be higher during 2001. We support the continuation of this study, but note the need to address the three limitations noted in the proposal (page 1, section 9) and the need to begin applying flow dynamic models to predict mortality and to verify these results with field data. Verification of the model is not likely to happen with the current level of coordination. These in-depth sampling programs are not likely needed on an annual basis. Particular attention should be placed on inspection of the remaining river area that has not been sampled (i.e., the 34 miles of Hanford Reach not included in the study area).
See detailed ISRP comments on Hanford Reach projects
Recommendation:
Date:
Oct 1, 2001

Comment:

Statement of Potential Biological Benefit to ESU
Evaluate effects of hydro operations on stranding of juveniles.

Comments
Completion of ongoing study,

Already ESA Req? NA

Biop? no


Recommendation:
Rank B
Date:
Oct 16, 2001

Comment:

This project began in 1997 as a 3-year project to be completed in 1999. It received additional funding for 2000 and 2001. Grant County PUD has been providing co-funding since 1997 under contract with WDFW. Grant County’s current contract with the WDFW expires in December of 2001 and the last completion report Grant received was for the 1998 sampling year. The proposal author has not contacted Grant regarding continued co-funding for 2002 and Grant has no plans to extend or renew the contract beyond 2001. We recommend that new funding not be provided for additional fieldwork on this project. Instead, efforts should be focused on finalizing reports that are already three years behind.

This is an excessively detailed data collection and analysis project for a fish population that is healthy. This is especially true given the measured chinook mortalities the project has measured the past 3 years, i.e., 0.3% to 0.5% population mortality at the fry stage of a healthy population is likely inconsequential to the viability of the population. This impact, for this population, at the fry stage could be viability noise. BPA may consider having a consultant perform a PVA or similar analysis on this Hanford fall chinook population with the above mortality levels and report both the consequences of the mortality and options for ameliorating the mortality, should it be considered a problem. For example, the lost fry, if really significant, might be offset by allowing an additional 60 – 100 adult fish escape to spawn. Alternatively, the Priest Rapids hatchery could increase its six million production by 100,000 0+ smolts as this is already a heavily supplemented population. $1.6 million has already been spent on this project and $1 million more is proposed. These funds could be more usefully spent within a sub-basin.

Grant County PUD is also concerned about the perceived need for extending the duration of this study, regardless of the funding source. In Grant’s opinion, 5 more years of monitoring and intensive sampling will unnecessarily delay implementation of a long-term flow management program to address the effects of flow fluctuations on fall chinook fry. We now have detailed mortality data from 1999, 2000 and 2001 that correspond to high, average and very low water years. We believe that the data expected from the study are now available. An additional five years of funding would unnecessarily delay development of a long-term agreement as each party anticipates new data that might be more favorable to their position. This proposal needs to be deferred until its components can be reviewed for consistency and effectiveness.


Recommendation:
Fund
Date:
Jan 3, 2002

Comment:

Stranding study (project 199701400)

This project began in 1997 to conduct a full-scale evaluation of the effect of controlled river elevation reductions on juvenile fall chinook and other species. It was originally planned to last two years, but continued to receive funding primarily from Bonneville and limited cost share by Grant County PUD. The sponsor (Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife) is now requesting funding for a sixth year of activities.

The scope of work of project 199701400 has changed significantly from its original intent. Originally the project was designed as a limited research study, but has now turned into a long-term monitoring effort that proposes to assess the modified special Operations Plan for the Priest Rapids project. Priest Rapids Dam is operated by Grant County PUD.

Because of the excessive extension in the duration of this project, the total costs to date considerably exceed the original estimates. The funding estimate for the entire duration of the project when the original version (FY 1997) was first proposed was $225,000. The total spent to date (FY 2001) is $1,442,964, over six times the original budget expectations.

In FY 2000, the ISRP recommended funds for one year only to complete the analysis and write the final report. The final report has not been received yet. In FY 2002, the ISRP supported the monitoring observations gained through this project, but linked their value to the effectiveness of flow operations. The Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Authority, in its current FY 2002 recommendations, indicated that the long term funding for this project needs to be considered by Grant County PUD.

Staff Recommendation: Staff recommends that funding of this project not be provided in FY 2002. No additional field work should be considered, given that the available mortality data collected to date reflect a complete spectrum of river conditions, including very low, medium and high water years. The sponsor should complete the final report to meet its contractual obligations.

Budget effect on base program (Project 199701400):

FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2004
Decrease $342,000 Decrease $297,000 Decrease $130,000

Recommendation:
Do Not Fund
Date:
Mar 6, 2002

Comment:

BPA does not intend to Fund.
Recommendation:
Do Not Fund
Date:
Sep 20, 2003

Comment:


Recommendation:
Date:
Sep 20, 2003

Comment: